41 thoughts on “LONG RANGE

  1. Hi from Finland! Very informative read. I think that the UKMO model may be too cold. Three months of easterlies is too much even if averaged. But if that really happens it could lead to really unusual phenomenon. I mean that the Baltic See could freeze over. Last time that happened was 1946-47 if I´m correct.

    We will see that. Mean temperature usually drops below zero ( winter begins ) in northern Finland by 22nd October. It is 16 days away. Hmm, and soon it is Christmas again 😀

    1. Thank you Marko! Yes interesting that the UKMO model says that, the signs are all very promising, I’ve also noticed that the Siberian snow is really picking up. It has a correlation with cold winters for us. Hope winter is good for you, do you have twitter?

  2. love your theory about the berries Ollie,it may interest you to know I picked 9 lbs of Blackberries here in South west Ireland(kerry) a few weeks ago,never had that much before,our winters apart from the bad ones of a couple of years ago are usually wet and muggy,it will be interesting to see how it works out this year!

  3. I´m bit old-fashioned guy, so I don´t have twitter. I´m pretty sure that there will be a lot of snow all around Europe next winter. You just have to be patient.

  4. hope you are right! I see the present cold spell has already gone totally against what many forecast for this month….just the second week of their forecasts! GIF charts show strong high builds over Scandinavia towards end of month bringing strong east / south east winds.

    1. That’s very interesting Marko. A shame it can’t be translated but I feel that this could be a good new indicator. Apparently it has 90%+ accuracy. Thanks for sharing.

  5. I’m extremely impressed with your writing skills and also with the layout on your weblog.
    Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself?
    Anyway keep up the nice quality writing, it is rare to see a nice
    blog like this one today.

  6. Great forecasts here Ollie, have been a keen follower of your long range outlooks for a year now. I find them quite impressive, keep it up, if you’re doing an Autumn/Winter blog let me know :).

  7. Doing a cruise from venice to barcelona in mid september to early October 2014 disembarking at Barcelona. cities visiting are Lake como, milan, venice, ravenna, dubrovnik, athens, kusadasi, mykonos, naples, rome, florence, toulon, barcelona and dubai.
    Your information on weather for places wiulc bd grestlg sporeviatef.

  8. Hi Ollie as you know many computer forecasts for the UK last Winter were totally wrong. The north eastern Seeboard of the U.S.A got our predicted Weather . I think this winter will be Wet & windy but Mild ! I hope I’m wrong ! But that’s the way I see it for South East England as of 5th September 2014.

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